Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9739b8d31add7aa7b00354e2169cf895a3e05349ba8d2b2db0a36d2186333157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 3,173$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.85 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,611$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 1,187$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.35 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 963.45$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.05 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 52c | 896.15$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…c1e5backed No | 48c | 756.29$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 497.8$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 447.43$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 423.35$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 52c | 411.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 299.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 294$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 265.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…8f43backed Yes | 52c | 192.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 165.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…7edbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 75.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed No | 48c | 68.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ae19backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 44.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…654bbacked Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.