Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7472745eeb320e820f0338a20f9ac73944e3d0a704ade0cee1f94d245a3a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 6c | 7,216$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 6,151$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 14c | 5,115$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.66 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 557.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 28c | 501.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 53c | 437.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 437.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 7c | 347.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 71c | 302.83$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 281.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 29c | 277.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 29c | 264.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Over | 71c | 201.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Over | 71c | 201.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 69c | 200.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 119.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 77.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 75.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 72.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 72c | 66.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 48c | 41.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 59c | 31.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 73c | 28.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.