Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ef96483f5c37a70228bf55877208606286504b8a95c32c8b82986a0f01f9824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 45c | 2,870$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.3 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,965$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 1,732$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.83 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 1,715$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.34 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,408$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Under | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 1,226$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…c1e5backed Under | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 865.32$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.74 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 797.91$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 776$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 576.32$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.34 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 75c | 489.65$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Over | 46c | 416.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Over | 46c | 406.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 38c | 299.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 265$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 227.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Over | 44c | 221.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 208.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 204.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 185.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 112.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 69c | 82.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 44c | 45.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 45c | 32.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 60c | 22.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 45c | 22.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 60c | 17.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.