TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$643,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under50c367,982$183,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,083.533930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c200,000$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,00025551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Over0c49,973$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over28c35,892$10,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.6823926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c21,785$10,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,539.584,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9516651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c18,617$12,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,218.146,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c15,275$7,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,79019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c14,397$7,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,342.5719253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over52c10,021$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.996248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over51c9,912$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,034.642,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c8,367$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,267.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over51c8,087$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.2937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.983633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.991758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c4,961$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6008851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c4,596$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.9485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under49c4,512$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.044252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.973452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over52c2,528$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c2,499$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.615949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c2,460$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.7896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over35c2,291$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.921,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over21c2,199$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.844318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under49c2,050$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.949846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over52c2,019$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over50c2,005$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7113662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under48c1,889$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.362138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,757$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.6952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over54c1,562$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.6334628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c1,524$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Over53c1,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over51c1,479$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.198343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over23c1,249$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4511324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Under55c1,098$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.16741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over12c1,050$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c1,020$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8630149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under48c999.91$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.956650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over52c962.65$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.585752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Over54c924.64$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c893.75$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.1374156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under60c833.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5716753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc582…6c90backed Over40c786.39$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over53c755$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.152250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over45c739.98$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.863868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…582dbacked Over48c673.55$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21f…9372backed Over52c673.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c652.93$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Over50c599.96$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under48c559$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.683641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c555.77$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.57250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over33c531.03$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under79c499$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.794975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under48c480.83$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.033063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c474.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.61,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over52c463.46$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over41c431$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.062568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over16c429.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over50c427.38$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.694738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2089242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over52c376.94$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over39c373.24$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.311,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under47c368.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.423946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under47c363.63$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ec…240abacked Under47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+178.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15f1…b3b0backed Over52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a58…bcf7backed Under48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over41c327.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6723435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over27c323.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.118158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over53c309$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7713939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c298.35$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.912,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under64c287.75$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2321049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c282.6$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0411053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over49c281.94$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.152958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over54c274.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.