Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61333fc26e113d65215d87139cf2ec4a7d56408714cb7d1e58391cf7384451af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,421$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 1,164$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.89 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 29c | 809$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 513$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 387$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 333.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 32c | 302.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 33c | 301.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 71c | 270.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Yes | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…41cebacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…66f8backed Yes | 17c | 79.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38de…f07fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.