Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c2d8e2e64788644a63ec7e4452e942fdac857d023705a9a7843b5a3385fd37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 48c | 19,993$9,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,396.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 71c | 3,684$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 50c | 3,235$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.06 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,787$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 42c | 1,726$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 59c | 799.87$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 28c | 618.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 572.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 33c | 555.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 529.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 79c | 410.48$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 42c | 286$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 283$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 40c | 218.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 61c | 163.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 32c | 148.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496e…5690backed Yes | 69c | 145.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 64c | 139.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 45c | 111.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 77.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 42c | 70.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed No | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…9d7ebacked Yes | 44c | 27.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd021…434ebacked No | 59c | 27.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…113ebacked No | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…1f0cbacked Yes | 44c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…6b02backed Yes | 79c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.