TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c10,064$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.446,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over59c7,878$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.864052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Under42c3,590$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.83647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over60c3,346$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.8616753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under40c2,689$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.614854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c2,594$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.412,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c2,399$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.431,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c2,352$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb740…582dbacked Over49c2,350$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over68c2,328$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.8696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under40c2,058$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.291,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over61c1,766$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.571030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under41c1,720$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.184445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c1,497$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.624,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under40c1,330$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c1,296$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.172,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over60c1,251$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.193063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under40c1,181$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.0952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under39c1,163$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.646248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e60…30eebacked Under40c1,138$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under41c1,024$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over60c1,024$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over67c995$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a0…6e5ebacked Over75c966.49$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under54c957.41$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.774367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under42c824.29$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.21330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over60c712.1$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.842050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2876540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over61c700$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Under41c610.64$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2493756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under31c578.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.091,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Over61c573.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c552.83$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.841,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under41c479.71$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.683542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over55c465.81$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.627251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Over61c442.62$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over59c411.86$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.866852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Over61c377.05$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over55c369$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7824146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.55650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over61c344.39$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.392454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9827955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3327748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over67c332.98$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over71c323.8$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…fc11backed Over61c319.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Over59c315$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over65c310$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.53868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over65c305$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over54c300$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1378134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under40c271.45$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Under41c244.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over66c242.71$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.618648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under33c212$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under38c177.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.419627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4910252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2465…1e64backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.814166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over60c166$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.62646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Over65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd4…8937backed Over60c152.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under43c152.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.594557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over66c139.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.393259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22f…892dbacked Over68c139.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over50c138$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad3e…2c44backed Under41c134.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.34944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over66c131.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6719853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over50c128.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.916248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1222832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Over60c121.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4819154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked Over48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.581060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Over60c100.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.082166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over61c98.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4412250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3614551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under43c98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1420956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over60c97.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under40c96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under40c96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under40c96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under40c96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under40c93.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6529855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Under34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5dc…a4cfbacked Under37c89.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.