TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33a7…960dbacked Over27c29,163$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,163.8723926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c28,794$20,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,547.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under65c16,956$11,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,059.138962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1503164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over36c4,302$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c2,528$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over38c2,107$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.142250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over37c1,892$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.898851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under75c1,710$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.2214166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over60c1,663$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7616753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under79c1,645$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.5510962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over35c1,612$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.8685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e99…e794backed Under63c1,600$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.993231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over30c1,250$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.319929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over35c1,202$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under73c1,100$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80313565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under64c1,059$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.721758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over36c1,053$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.679042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under8c1,034$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.754914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under64c787.76$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.171827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under63c629.45$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.554854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5427748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under9c490$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under79c428$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.125556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over36c421.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c406.43$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.041,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over38c389.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9217428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under63c389.89$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6339948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over36c388.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.893063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.310874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…9d0cbacked Under8c299.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over37c294.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.598927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c292.47$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.671,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c289.48$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.714,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over37c256$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.281,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd4…8937backed Over62c243.87$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over37c222.03$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.888050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c168.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1520864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1422244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under14c110.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1135328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1130645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Under76c105.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under73c104.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.941,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over36c103$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over39c102.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.699339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over37c97.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over36c97.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.226749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Under62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under47c90.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.774839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over31c85.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.329627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.089245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under68c79.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3916357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over43c73.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.661,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Under63c69.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over25c68.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5711053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over39c61.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.545438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over37c59.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4640841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5dc…a4cfbacked Under59c57.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under73c57.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over30c54.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.137233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c21…8f96backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…82a8backed Over39c53.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over58c51.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.868259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1929855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e65…ff48backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over36c49.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Under64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…ccd8backed Over38c46.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba7e…ae58backed Under65c44.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee6…3848backed Under75c43.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over40c43.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over37c42.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0319133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Under64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4625057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Over27c38.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.785733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over31c35.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.398243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Under63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.055158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f0…5860backed Over37c34.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f9…317abacked Over37c33.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c33.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251650%8 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ef3…f1a5backed Over37c32.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.