Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c83a25be20adbd4f60ddd0a03c7ede8ae1f3d4a7aec72888dafb98785a3c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 13,743$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 10,901$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.78 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 18c | 2,744$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 70c | 2,416$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.81 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 17c | 734.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 724.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 80c | 599.89$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 575.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 533$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 76c | 390$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 74c | 283.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 78c | 275$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…d236backed Over | 75c | 267.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 77c | 249.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 80c | 232.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 20c | 189.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 179.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 73c | 151.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…d3c7backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 29c | 64.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 26c | 60.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 71c | 56.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 80c | 40.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…c7e4backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…fd2dbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 80c | 24.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Over | 73c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.