TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c13,015$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,995.3113933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No54c6,788$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,664.183844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No16c3,946$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.189431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No55c3,461$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.511844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c3,247$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.7443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c2,434$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed Yes75c1,335$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.21070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No2c1,314$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5630954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes63c1,206$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6411063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes54c1,194$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.313050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No21c1,098$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6112156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes48c1,048$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.411833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5704341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No28c822.69$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.562250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c760.93$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c648.07$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4633444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c642.96$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6246644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes51c581$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.815651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes48c533.33$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c352$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c314.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17119345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c3…42cbbacked Yes53c282.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked No7c279.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No59c265.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.914238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes36c260$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c244.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bed…65a7backed Yes47c242.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c08…c362backed Yes47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes68c221.57$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x449d…fee5backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea4…a46fbacked Yes47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes58c194$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.454151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1070…5278backed Yes65c184.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes78c170.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes56c168.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No37c163.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.581957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8b…4631backed Yes48c160.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes48c159.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.572040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes40c143.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No54c138.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.366453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No21c135.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.764650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes55c122.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.342917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+84.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes48c121.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8111351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c120$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…7268backed Yes42c107.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes44c107.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No58c102.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.447549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f59…04cdbacked Yes47c102.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb36…10a3backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked No27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272213.6%3 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-72.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c97.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No48c96.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed No34c86.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.264233.3%14 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd354…ff2fbacked Yes76c82.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.731163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes61c81.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.031560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.176460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No55c77.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.76162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727e…b35dbacked Yes45c75.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes42c75.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.441540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0291…cf1bbacked Yes69c72.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.335156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.185250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No22c65.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.633966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes71c62.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1613149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0529…da98backed Yes44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.644355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+79.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.627833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Yes45c46.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked No57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes61c38.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Yes47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6d…9b95backed No54c36.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.524459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…9ed6backed Yes47c35.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.