TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof Team WE, LNG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$380,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed LNG Esports63c18,528$11,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,581.3564155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Team WE56c17,850$10,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,826.2625751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LNG Esports60c14,195$8,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,516.561,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team WE38c13,563$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,380.871,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team WE38c10,679$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.71,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed LNG Esports33c9,750$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.736216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed LNG Esports61c8,630$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,264.1326246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked LNG Esports3c8,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225711.4%1 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed LNG Esports67c7,656$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.6114757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team WE55c6,823$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.441,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked LNG Esports64c6,772$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed LNG Esports9c6,446$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team WE36c6,443$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.355955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team WE62c6,059$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.361,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Team WE71c5,439$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.0425446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed LNG Esports62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10016238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Team WE39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LNG Esports48c4,899$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.7669756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LNG Esports34c3,970$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.872,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed LNG Esports52c3,940$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.665848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team WE46c3,851$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.7627353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team WE31c3,539$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.931,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed LNG Esports61c3,519$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.3637554.7%205 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…6de5backed Team WE69c3,200$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.682352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team WE36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39e2…0064backed LNG Esports19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed LNG Esports53c2,919$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.3219839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LNG Esports18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed LNG Esports29c2,585$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.923020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Team WE36c2,500$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.981,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed Team WE67c2,490$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.5616660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LNG Esports56c2,358$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.471,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE37c2,274$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.621,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team WE37c2,238$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.8495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team WE66c2,100$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8563161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed LNG Esports62c2,069$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.816050.6%81 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked LNG Esports8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Team WE35c1,980$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.5127248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Team WE76c1,960$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9414425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…1dbcbacked LNG Esports60c1,922$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Team WE40c1,898$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed LNG Esports64c1,892$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.2576953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Team WE39c1,811$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.7843539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Team WE69c1,712$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.3192354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Team WE52c1,662$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7974452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed LNG Esports65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009962.6%62 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team WE40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ed…2ef0backed LNG Esports15c1,467$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+130.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x708d…ea78backed Team WE65c1,466$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.283745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed LNG Esports50c1,460$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.3625547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed LNG Esports58c1,459$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.0128361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked LNG Esports18c1,400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210631.1%33 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed LNG Esports33c1,400$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46242924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LNG Esports64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8961,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed LNG Esports49c1,344$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.4444843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0965…da73backed Team WE75c1,340$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.272090%18 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+52%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7c96…763fbacked LNG Esports17c1,306$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.024914.3%7 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed LNG Esports63c1,160$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.4582554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Team WE76c1,136$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9847953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked LNG Esports63c1,108$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.711750.4%59 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed LNG Esports77c1,099$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.7143151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team WE39c1,037$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5726645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Team WE44c1,001$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.88648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed LNG Esports61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed LNG Esports61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed LNG Esports2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team WE32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked LNG Esports34c1,000$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-73.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team WE37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.991,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE39c999.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Team WE61c976.28$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7711440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa502…8c2bbacked LNG Esports26c971.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed LNG Esports52c954.07$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4227432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed Team WE38c949.33$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5322452.2%117 W · 107 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed LNG Esports29c947.9$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.431,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team WE35c900.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.781,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team WE37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5671,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d5…8ea7backed Team WE34c900$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.642060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed LNG Esports70c888$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.630661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed LNG Esports60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011060%66 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked LNG Esports61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Team WE44c792.16$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6122035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Team WE80c789.27$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9731661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Team WE40c786.73$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Team WE38c783.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.561,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked LNG Esports64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Team WE39c762.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.7334631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Team WE41c732.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.7410443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports45c725.37$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.472,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed LNG Esports67c724.44$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.4141644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LNG Esports61c699.98$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.992,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed LNG Esports73c683.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008854.5%48 W · 40 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Team WE37c653.81$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6913030.8%40 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Team WE73c652.95$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2517544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked LNG Esports64c629.76$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1521059%124 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…e946backed LNG Esports47c609.95$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.498647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed LNG Esports65c596.54$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.111,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed LNG Esports21c578.26$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4881143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ed…063bbacked LNG Esports61c549.05$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.73119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.39per pick48cpaid-76.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team WE63c542$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.845344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.