Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b2e8809ce08efb00c7c87c52d69679e2ecd74f44d364d15d840c53f34c6530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa469…0782backed Over | 62c | 1,060$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Over | 68c | 484.25$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.19 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Over | 62c | 477.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 40c | 349.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Under | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 61c | 261.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 38c | 221.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Under | 52c | 220.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 37c | 213.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 524 | 38.9%204 W · 320 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Under | 35c | 190.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Under | 19c | 180$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 67c | 163.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 62c | 123.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 33c | 70.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Under | 40c | 61.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Over | 62c | 43.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -12.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 62c | 40.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 33c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 62c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.