Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6072428e318c629e63e1446518be03ef20bcb0c65ae1d2ca663022ce0a6889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 4,209$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 70c | 1,537$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 33c | 1,087$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.95 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,043$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 70c | 957.14$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 68c | 888.75$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 68c | 872.66$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 31c | 739.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 70c | 510.26$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 65c | 297.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 70c | 283.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Over | 73c | 256.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…3ba0backed Over | 69c | 251$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…63d5backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 70c | 175.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 69c | 161.24$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 70c | 151.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Over | 69c | 144.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 32c | 142.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Under | 31c | 112.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 26c | 105.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Under | 35c | 101.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Over | 65c | 101.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…96a8backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 31c | 97.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 78c | 87.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…63fdbacked Under | 63c | 81.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Under | 39c | 76.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 45c | 43.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Over | 70c | 40.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…f1b7backed Under | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed Under | 47c | 34.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…2907backed Over | 70c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 22.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.