Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6dfaef2df3cf9a7544dd651321e73909481579769bb464ac6e83800ea2dc585
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof LNG Esports, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team WE | 50c | 16,191$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,031.23 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked LNG Esports | 49c | 8,853$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.21 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team WE | 52c | 5,633$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.62 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed LNG Esports | 50c | 5,066$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.85 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team WE | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed LNG Esports | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed LNG Esports | 48c | 4,592$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.04 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE | 52c | 4,300$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed LNG Esports | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team WE | 51c | 3,723$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.14 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Team WE | 50c | 3,400$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.36 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked LNG Esports | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LNG Esports | 1c | 2,254$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed LNG Esports | 49c | 1,288$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.35 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Team WE | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed LNG Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Team WE | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed LNG Esports | 48c | 799.36$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.69 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Team WE | 52c | 707.69$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked LNG Esports | 48c | 652.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed LNG Esports | 51c | 589.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked LNG Esports | 49c | 585.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 49c | 509.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team WE | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team WE | 55c | 390.91$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed LNG Esports | 50c | 318.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked LNG Esports | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team WE | 52c | 270.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team WE | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed LNG Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team WE | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked LNG Esports | 26c | 179.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Team WE | 51c | 166.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Team WE | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team WE | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Team WE | 52c | 115.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…d0fcbacked Team WE | 51c | 112.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…49c0backed Team WE | 55c | 109.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LNG Esports | 50c | 108.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Team WE | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked LNG Esports | 45c | 90.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Team WE | 52c | 76.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed LNG Esports | 32c | 62.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team WE | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed LNG Esports | 51c | 52.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Team WE | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9d…1da9backed Team WE | 52c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed LNG Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed LNG Esports | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed LNG Esports | 54c | 38.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…2854backed Team WE | 52c | 38.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked LNG Esports | 28c | 37.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcd…3ccabacked LNG Esports | 49c | 37.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked LNG Esports | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…0034backed Team WE | 52c | 35.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed LNG Esports | 54c | 35.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…404abacked Team WE | 52c | 32.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…68b1backed LNG Esports | 49c | 31.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked LNG Esports | 54c | 31.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked LNG Esports | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Team WE | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Team WE | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team WE | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.