TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Under51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.979746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over36c16,460$5,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,987.572,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under51c11,961$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,860.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under51c11,470$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.265658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over20c9,990$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.4523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c9,732$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,782.932,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under51c6,863$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c6,300$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0871,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.998939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.996248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c4,505$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c4,002$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.061,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7156240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over13c2,999$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8710924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over54c2,737$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.648050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b25…0b1bbacked Under47c2,594$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f63…66b7backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over49c1,441$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.862250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c1,306$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.882360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,255$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c1,203$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.5330143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Under51c976.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabd…ab1fbacked Under48c783.48$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd9…2b18backed Over54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under52c673.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.252050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c656.4$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f2…4b34backed Over54c650$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Under51c639.75$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Over49c639.75$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c620.38$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.64,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.246743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b91…605bbacked Under48c539.43$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over49c444.16$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.643941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ac…c69bbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under66c353.03$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.038655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fe…4ef4backed Over44c306.59$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c288.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over49c237$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1313939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Under52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf82…0a32backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.077851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under52c194.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb1…163bbacked Under52c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over49c164.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551b…e339backed Over49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under52c151.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c125.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9737557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c124.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under49c110.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.215558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c105.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.021,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0529…da98backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5321648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over46c92.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.717745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over54c90.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7610036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4029657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over24c75.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.229627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.755955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Under79c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over50c59.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8529855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over53c59.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.718449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c50.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.514351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under66c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8189152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2427758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.052556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.855158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.