Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffdcba69701cc197b89b936d5243616c6b00178079e1b414b2359d0a4bb1fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 19c | 11,661$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 22c | 3,299$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.97 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 1,449$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.29 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 650.89$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 534$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 21c | 282$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 17c | 137.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 17c | 123.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Crystal Palace FC | 77c | 117.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 18c | 113.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 26c | 97.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 25c | 79.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 17c | 69.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…ddf8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 26c | 63.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 49.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…2e8dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 80c | 21.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4082…f5b2backed Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…cbb5backed Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…9169backed Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.