TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x437c…f458backed Under54c9,230$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,245.972035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c8,825$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.796,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over45c3,498$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.954252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c2,964$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.354,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c1,706$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.942,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over71c1,475$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c1,430$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.652,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Under73c1,376$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.468259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over75c1,213$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over55c1,051$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.24355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c1,040$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over40c955$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3828236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over62c814.02$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5928348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over45c652.58$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.668050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under77c504.23$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.577342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13074256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under24c499.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over55c481.91$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c470.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over45c470.07$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5310244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over76c449.61$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.424062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over75c435.8$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.856347.6%30 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c385.73$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over51c378.82$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+77.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…bee0backed Over75c314.63$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.971838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1568858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over77c298.7$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over72c290$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over52c281$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.123545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over71c278$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under39c259.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.416041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over75c237.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.46553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over59c233.9$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under25c225$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c222.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.881,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Over55c217.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c169.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…7627backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under53c145.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0321049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.119259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Under48c125.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Over75c122.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.024647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over27c112.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.959627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over69c105$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.456168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8429…8e64backed Over55c104.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5860%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under56c102.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5319128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8417backed Under26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Over62c99.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.84139%16 W · 25 L-8.8wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over45c84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.817745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over22c70.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over62c61.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4310046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under24c60.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7822834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ce…6b46backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over38c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.257850%39 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over54c49.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under78c47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over43c46.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8818139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under30c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.57162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ba5…8689backed Over33c43.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.371428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over76c42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over55c40.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.472665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over76c40.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9233753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over76c35.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Over44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over77c31.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245164.7%33 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over75c30.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9036…100fbacked Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over52c29.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5614463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.