Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835c446b87cc07148a25702b5b5c9305dbfcfbca1671b319a12cd2d99ba711cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Falcons, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 8,029$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.69 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 5,581$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.63 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex | 57c | 5,563$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.4 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Team Yandex | 41c | 5,342$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 4,370$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.54 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 4,312$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 39c | 4,004$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,764$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.65 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,807$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.31 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex | 33c | 2,252$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.81 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 48c | 2,103$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.03 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Falcons | 1c | 1,716$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,528$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.15 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Yandex | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…c95abacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,215$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,030$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Yandex | 31c | 981.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.35 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 969.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.25 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 57c | 917.77$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.85 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 784.62$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.62 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 49c | 700$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 660.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.39 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons | 50c | 650$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 580.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Team Yandex | 56c | 579.83$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Yandex | 41c | 542.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.69 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 501.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 484.35$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex | 22c | 427.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.31 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex | 27c | 389.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Yandex | 40c | 368.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 33c | 350$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…8b41backed Team Falcons | 68c | 339.69$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 240.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex | 65c | 198.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4444…83ecbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 172.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Team Falcons | 58c | 157.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…4948backed Team Falcons | 43c | 156.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Team Yandex | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Yandex | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…66c2backed Team Falcons | 14c | 139.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 135.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Falcons | 75c | 133.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 132.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex | 47c | 106.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Yandex | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Yandex | 33c | 101.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Team Falcons | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Yandex | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed Team Falcons | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 91.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Team Yandex | 41c | 88.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 86.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Falcons | 50c | 79.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 75c | 77.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 67.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Team Falcons | 48c | 65.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 63.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Team Falcons | 59c | 62.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 60.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons | 67c | 59.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0db1backed Team Falcons | 68c | 58.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Team Yandex | 44c | 57.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…1c09backed Team Yandex | 55c | 50.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Falcons | 78c | 47.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…6696backed Team Yandex | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Team Yandex | 39c | 43.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Team Yandex | 73c | 41.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Team Yandex | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Yandex | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed Team Falcons | 62c | 36.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 36.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…857ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Team Falcons | 61c | 33.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Team Falcons | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Team Falcons | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 18.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…3054backed Team Falcons | 72c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -5.9wins | -0.42per pick | 71cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.