Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. ThunderTalk Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a2235fe459c4d9fc37bdde44458a1e21b9bc3ded0d5778a53cd9c06ace1289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof LNG Esports, ThunderTalk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed ThunderTalk | 30c | 14,188$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.86 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LNG Esports | 65c | 6,715$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.71 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed ThunderTalk | 38c | 5,006$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.69 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG Esports | 45c | 3,002$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed LNG Esports | 40c | 2,951$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed LNG Esports | 62c | 2,805$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.9 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed LNG Esports | 35c | 1,633$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.75 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed ThunderTalk | 64c | 1,554$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed LNG Esports | 64c | 1,525$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.15 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed ThunderTalk | 3c | 1,135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked LNG Esports | 67c | 855.64$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +115%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked ThunderTalk | 60c | 830$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed ThunderTalk | 61c | 800$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ThunderTalk | 60c | 662.49$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed LNG Esports | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed ThunderTalk | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed LNG Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed LNG Esports | 37c | 449.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.61 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk | 60c | 364.63$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed ThunderTalk | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed LNG Esports | 37c | 222$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed LNG Esports | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked ThunderTalk | 64c | 156.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed ThunderTalk | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed ThunderTalk | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed ThunderTalk | 64c | 155.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed LNG Esports | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LNG Esports | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked LNG Esports | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked ThunderTalk | 67c | 148.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed ThunderTalk | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed ThunderTalk | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked LNG Esports | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked ThunderTalk | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed LNG Esports | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed ThunderTalk | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed ThunderTalk | 60c | 72.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed LNG Esports | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed LNG Esports | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed LNG Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked ThunderTalk | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed ThunderTalk | 64c | 49.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked ThunderTalk | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed ThunderTalk | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.