MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40726967ee4e1ea445899a95b7b83578aa6b6320aaa768c40a44556e6ad1bf78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 61c | 8,015$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 60c | 7,750$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 23c | 7,019$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 40c | 6,390$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 34c | 6,359$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Nationals | 61c | 5,072$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.41 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Royals | 41c | 4,983$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.03 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 39c | 4,243$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.35 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 59c | 3,297$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.44 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Royals | 46c | 3,273$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 64c | 3,136$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 48c | 2,544$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 60c | 2,475$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Nationals | 39c | 2,243$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.35 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 28c | 2,138$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.67 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Royals | 58c | 2,071$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Nationals | 49c | 1,829$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.12 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 50c | 1,811$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Nationals | 38c | 1,666$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…fb42backed Royals | 32c | 1,601$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Nationals | 47c | 1,565$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.95 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Royals | 30c | 1,460$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.12 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nationals | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Nationals | 38c | 1,105$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Royals | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Royals | 42c | 1,076$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.13 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Royals | 61c | 1,025$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Royals | 60c | 1,023$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.52 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Royals | 45c | 1,004$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 39c | 999.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.05 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 61c | 985.82$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…0bdbbacked Royals | 62c | 960$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…23e2backed Royals | 62c | 940$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 15c | 933.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 38c | 884.63$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.47 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Royals | 30c | 822.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 33c | 800.73$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.71 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…550fbacked Nationals | 38c | 795$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Nationals | 69c | 725.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Royals | 25c | 683$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Royals | 29c | 666.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 32c | 571.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals | 61c | 569.34$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 39c | 547.03$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Royals | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Royals | 57c | 484.47$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.15 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 58c | 452.5$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Royals | 59c | 444.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Royals | 30c | 435.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nationals | 64c | 426.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 37c | 419.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Royals | 38c | 406.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nationals | 61c | 373$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 45c | 341.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 38c | 316.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Royals | 62c | 302.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 25c | 294.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Royals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Royals | 43c | 259.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Nationals | 77c | 258.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Nationals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Royals | 61c | 255.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 36c | 253.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nationals | 40c | 252.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Royals | 44c | 252.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…975dbacked Royals | 46c | 245.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 55c | 241.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Royals | 17c | 229.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…9a36backed Nationals | 70c | 225$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 40c | 220.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 37c | 199.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Royals | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…7918backed Royals | 26c | 184.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Royals | 62c | 180.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Royals | 26c | 175$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Royals | 30c | 173.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 61c | 171.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Royals | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Royals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 53c | 162$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Nationals | 46c | 143.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Royals | 35c | 140.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Royals | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Royals | 30c | 133.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.