WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17508207b33962585db6d725e43569ab2927044d02df4524b5b146ebf932a4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Dream | 47c | 85,000$39,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,085.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Storm | 53c | 77,025$40,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,823.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Storm | 57c | 3,567$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.34 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 50c | 3,546$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.43 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Storm | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Storm | 34c | 2,570$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.51 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dream | 43c | 2,550$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Storm | 53c | 2,234$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.38 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 43c | 2,208$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.56 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dream | 49c | 1,751$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…e22fbacked Dream | 50c | 1,640$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Storm | 62c | 1,611$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Storm | 50c | 1,544$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…33a5backed Storm | 50c | 1,410$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Storm | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…74bdbacked Dream | 50c | 1,184$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Storm | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…f2f3backed Dream | 51c | 1,163$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Dream | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…ec03backed Storm | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Storm | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dream | 45c | 970.27$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Storm | 53c | 853.58$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.34 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Storm | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Storm | 37c | 766$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d536backed Dream | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Dream | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Dream | 54c | 714.03$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 52c | 706.94$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.61 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Dream | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Storm | 20c | 568.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dream | 47c | 502.52$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Storm | 55c | 455.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Storm | 11c | 447.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Dream | 48c | 365.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 49c | 354.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dream | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Dream | 48c | 262.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Dream | 49c | 249.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dream | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dream | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Dream | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Dream | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Dream | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Dream | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Dream | 54c | 185.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Dream | 44c | 163.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Storm | 53c | 159.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Storm | 56c | 132.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Dream | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dream | 47c | 103.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dream | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Storm | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Storm | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Dream | 49c | 81.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream | 45c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Dream | 47c | 71.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Dream | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Dream | 47c | 68.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dream | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dream | 44c | 61.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Storm | 51c | 50.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Dream | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…debabacked Dream | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Storm | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Storm | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dream | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Dream | 65c | 35.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…483cbacked Dream | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Dream | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…22f8backed Dream | 54c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…9bc9backed Storm | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.