TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80e3…e76c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.57
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+31%+$3.41
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$8.96
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+47.2%+$6.98
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$6.86
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$4.81
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$4.98
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$7.57
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Angels vs. Metsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.59
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$5.35
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.75
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+28%+$22.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.65
BLAST Bounty: Virtus.Pro vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiNbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.72
BLAST Bounty: BetBoom vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$10.78
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Vitalitybacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$47.7
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+26%+$40.56
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. The MongolZbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.3
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. TYLOObacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
IEM Cologne: Virtus.pro vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+78.3%+$9.79
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$23.06
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. BIGbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10.8
IEM Cologne: FlyQuest vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$9.8
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. B8backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$7.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.85
League of Legends: FURIA Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Starsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.95
League of Legends: DRX vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.86
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LGD Gamingbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$5.91
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. JD Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$8.73
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$5.99
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$7.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Stormbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$12.35
Valkyries vs Mysticsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.02
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$9.05
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Storm vs Sparksbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$4.73
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$36.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichailbacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Sora Fukudabacked Sora Fukuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.