Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: FURIA Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd401c534e7b9792af37394e21bc1a81dfec02211c497843cb5e8cde21999dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keydof FURIA Esports, Vivo Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 11,096$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.58 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Vivo Keyd | 25c | 5,555$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.25 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Vivo Keyd | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Vivo Keyd | 65c | 4,390$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.82 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 3,036$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.92 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 1,350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Vivo Keyd | 25c | 497.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.64 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Vivo Keyd | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA Esports | 44c | 92.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FURIA Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 49.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…79dbbacked Vivo Keyd | 28c | 49.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked FURIA Esports | 61c | 48.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Vivo Keyd | 26c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed FURIA Esports | 43c | 36.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.