TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers41c5,805$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.825536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans50c5,600$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.4585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Pacers53c5,047$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.628129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pelicans50c4,979$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.6918146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans42c4,221$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pacers80c4,055$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.9533746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pacers46c2,400$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.9336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans39c1,942$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.511,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pelicans60c1,841$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8919149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Pacers40c1,766$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.894148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Pelicans57c1,354$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.692536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Pacers45c1,042$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Pacers45c1,000$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5463458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc712…450ebacked Pelicans61c974.8$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Pacers41c853.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.665536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed Pelicans61c818.7$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.336440.6%26 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pelicans49c809.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Pelicans48c629.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Pelicans57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3425054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers45c550.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7335438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans53c530.53$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Pelicans53c528.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.854940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Pacers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009573.7%70 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pelicans53c486.32$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans3c450$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Pelicans58c413.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Pelicans54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Pelicans62c375.37$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2333151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans52c365.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.61,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers44c340.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.952,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Pacers44c318.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6966732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Pacers41c300$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762850%14 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+300.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Pacers49c269.11$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.562045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcf…c26fbacked Pelicans56c266.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.493060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers40c251.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers40c249.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.491,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…1067backed Pacers40c222$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Pacers48c221.95$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.953461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers46c218.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.641,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Pelicans60c213.71$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.56750.7%34 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Pelicans62c212.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Pelicans55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…18cfbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…ed65backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf5…ee08backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7811…36d3backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a5…81f4backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc0…8c53backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…d335backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…2883backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x411f…5a20backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa23backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc312…d500backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe807…344ebacked Pelicans55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf26c…12acbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a1…8edfbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…aa96backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977e…910bbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff5…2c9dbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf783…7684backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe0…d317backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b01…aeb1backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d6…e236backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba3…f9ccbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d0…87efbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…3d22backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…45eabacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c23…362cbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b2…94dfbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-74.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe319…3604backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7a…0c15backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…4f0cbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5795…324cbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…408cbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c0…8d13backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa86b…60acbacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…cccebacked Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d3b…f7bebacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4eda…800bbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eac…4ff0backed Pacers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0810…969cbacked Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad1…1c56backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc5…5880backed Pelicans54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.