MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735190d98bc4a0214bfbb9356b51e1271c97fd152da6e122d2ae8917bcae00dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Reds | 43c | 86,597$37,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,220.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 61c | 49,469$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,469.42 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 57c | 35,735$20,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,366.05 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,749.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 43c | 24,240$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Reds | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 41c | 11,439$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.02 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Reds | 41c | 5,020$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.2 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Dodgers | 47c | 4,980$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.76 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 40c | 4,033$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Dodgers | 59c | 3,897$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 42c | 3,895$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Reds | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Reds | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.97 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Dodgers | 57c | 2,900$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 42c | 2,721$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.35 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Dodgers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dodgers | 54c | 2,028$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.75 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Reds | 40c | 2,000$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Dodgers | 25c | 1,995$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Reds | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…de6bbacked Reds | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 43c | 1,592$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.46 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…56f2backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,573$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 41c | 1,568$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers | 67c | 1,472$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…4074backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…02edbacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…feedbacked Reds | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…8429backed Reds | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…df01backed Reds | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Reds | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,170$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Dodgers | 20c | 1,157$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Dodgers | 70c | 1,143$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 24c | 1,046$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.83 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Dodgers | 32c | 1,036$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Dodgers | 32c | 1,029$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7ecdbacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,021$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 63c | 984.09$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 59c | 981.58$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…a437backed Dodgers | 59c | 927$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Dodgers | 55c | 905.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.18 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 41c | 879.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 69c | 872.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.13 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers | 58c | 870.74$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.71 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 41c | 799.97$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Reds | 44c | 793.33$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.17 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…6073backed Reds | 43c | 774.42$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Reds | 41c | 740$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Reds | 41c | 718.55$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 43c | 695.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Dodgers | 58c | 665.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Dodgers | 38c | 657.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.55 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 636.56$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Dodgers | 28c | 585.32$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.58 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 27c | 509.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.65 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 50c | 500.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 493.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Dodgers | 26c | 458.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.03 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 54c | 441.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Dodgers | 59c | 416.95$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Dodgers | 52c | 409.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Reds | 41c | 399.55$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 41c | 370$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dodgers | 58c | 340$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Dodgers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Reds | 64c | 321.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Reds | 75c | 320.52$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Reds | 64c | 320$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 41c | 300.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Reds | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 42c | 293.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 289.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Reds | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Dodgers | 22c | 285.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 42c | 274.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Reds | 41c | 255.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Dodgers | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 240$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 53c | 225.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…6474backed Reds | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.