MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f699f66a3e9122e5217c4ac4bb5a2535939884e83f1f0e2296b7bd8b20962a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 57c | 36,556$20,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,808.18 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…57c7backed Blue Jays | 54c | 16,279$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,790.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 15,014$7,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,710.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 52c | 14,439$7,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.93 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 45c | 13,527$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 42c | 10,959$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.48 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yankees | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 43c | 9,823$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.89 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 9,355$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays | 46c | 7,984$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.1 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 24c | 7,674$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 40c | 5,749$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.13 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yankees | 45c | 5,160$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.93 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 5,139$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.44 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yankees | 47c | 5,008$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.37 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 52c | 5,000$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yankees | 31c | 4,845$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.04 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 46c | 4,443$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.09 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 46c | 4,425$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 52c | 3,708$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.32 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays | 35c | 3,222$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.53 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 2,810$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,808$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 34c | 2,446$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.41 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 2,420$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Yankees | 44c | 2,251$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.07 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Yankees | 70c | 2,243$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 2,196$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.89 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f937backed Yankees | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed Yankees | 47c | 1,970$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…6116backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,970$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yankees | 37c | 1,418$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.27 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yankees | 65c | 1,314$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.82 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,203$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.59 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…4430backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,139$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,100$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…d066backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 46c | 1,026$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.14 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays | 54c | 976.03$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.2 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 46c | 949.97$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…9528backed Blue Jays | 53c | 934$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 860.3$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.18 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 826$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.52 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…faa6backed Yankees | 47c | 695$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 57c | 613.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Blue Jays | 52c | 576.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Blue Jays | 35c | 562.95$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Blue Jays | 53c | 509.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Blue Jays | 53c | 469.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yankees | 34c | 469.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.58 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Blue Jays | 53c | 464.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 48c | 436.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 47c | 423.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yankees | 74c | 386.19$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f8f2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Yankees | 47c | 324.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 322.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 318$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Blue Jays | 51c | 317.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 54c | 315.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…8c5dbacked Yankees | 47c | 302.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Yankees | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 16c | 299.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…eadfbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 289$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yankees | 59c | 267.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 66c | 260$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…ec46backed Yankees | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 250.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 63c | 246.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Blue Jays | 43c | 244.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…1b7abacked Yankees | 47c | 241$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yankees | 48c | 239.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…873cbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 239$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 43c | 230.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 29c | 225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 52c | 211.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…7ee8backed Yankees | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yankees | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…aa11backed Yankees | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees | 45c | 205.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b7…a821backed Blue Jays | 63c | 193.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…d390backed Blue Jays | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.