CS2 · resolved market

IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquid

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9a8f7696fbbe7b63894ec68ea0fc58cdae1718b32c15372283417749669003

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FaZeof FaZe, Liquid
Resolved: Jul 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,898 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Liquid	43c	15,461$6,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,648.32	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+6.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed FaZe	57c	9,112$5,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,918.28	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked FaZe	69c	3,700$2,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Liquid	30c	3,621$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.75	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Liquid	42c	3,514$1,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.89	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+14.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Liquid	38c	3,317$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.42	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FaZe	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed FaZe	57c	2,610$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.38	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FaZe	63c	1,718$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.32	854	46.4%396 W · 458 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed FaZe	58c	1,696$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.19	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed Liquid	11c	1,500$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	85	4.7%4 W · 81 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed FaZe	57c	1,500$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.99	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Liquid	43c	1,400$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Liquid	42c	1,214$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Liquid	46c	1,151$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.27	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed FaZe	58c	1,050$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.01	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Liquid	38c	1,020$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.6	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed FaZe	65c	1,013$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.59	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed FaZe	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked FaZe	59c	972.5$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.93	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Liquid	44c	955.25$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.31	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Liquid	25c	907.63$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.91	95	42.1%40 W · 55 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1669…22efbacked FaZe	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc559…ac69backed Liquid	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.9wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-55%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked FaZe	61c	739.04$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.59	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked FaZe	57c	656.14$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.14	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FaZe	59c	627.43$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.94	754	50.5%381 W · 373 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked FaZe	44c	568.41$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.41	106	63.2%67 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed FaZe	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	524	56.3%295 W · 229 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked FaZe	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed FaZe	59c	500$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	589	61.3%361 W · 228 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FaZe	59c	456.69$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.12	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FaZe	73c	393.82$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.18	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8604…bbcabacked Liquid	33c	345$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.85	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-42%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed FaZe	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	212	51.4%109 W · 103 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Liquid	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Liquid	38c	250$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	633	45.2%286 W · 347 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid	18c	190$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.41	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed FaZe	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	367	51%187 W · 180 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Liquid	39c	159.39$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.68	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked FaZe	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked FaZe	59c	158.58$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.02	582	54.3%316 W · 266 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed FaZe	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	334	56.6%189 W · 145 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked FaZe	59c	150$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	421	49.6%209 W · 212 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Liquid	37c	142$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.84	282	48.9%138 W · 144 L	+21.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed FaZe	75c	132.94$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.94	265	63%167 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcadd…200bbacked FaZe	63c	132$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.84	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d4…ba68backed Liquid	41c	127.63$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-29%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed FaZe	73c	125.06$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.81	233	51.5%120 W · 113 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e68…035abacked Liquid	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb78…3acfbacked Liquid	44c	112$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked FaZe	72c	106.31$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.31	317	58%184 W · 133 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed FaZe	58c	104$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked FaZe	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked FaZe	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.1	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…ffb8backed FaZe	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed FaZe	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	66cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked FaZe	72c	97.72$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	102	61.8%63 W · 39 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47a1…22abbacked Liquid	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c9…d707backed FaZe	78c	90$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Liquid	24c	90$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	135	32.6%44 W · 91 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed FaZe	57c	83.84$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.05	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Liquid	30c	70.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	217	23%50 W · 167 L	-35.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x64b3…5411backed FaZe	62c	67$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed FaZe	67c	60.1$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	225	56%126 W · 99 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb1…0154backed Liquid	43c	56.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c6…7624backed Liquid	43c	55.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80e3…e76cbacked FaZe	58c	55.36$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked FaZe	59c	53.84$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.95	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed FaZe	59c	53.37$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.88	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Liquid	41c	51.17$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed FaZe	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	736	58.2%428 W · 308 L	-22.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6e…9191backed FaZe	72c	45.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.83	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed FaZe	45c	44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed FaZe	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x752a…282fbacked Liquid	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddd…53ebbacked FaZe	62c	34.49$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.08	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FaZe	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Liquid	43c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	317	35.6%113 W · 204 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked FaZe	59c	31.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.02	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed FaZe	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e9…c49cbacked FaZe	63c	25.4$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcde…2444backed FaZe	57c	21.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.09	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FaZe	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquid

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market