MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd959a1c3775b5eb826a0ed59400c21f02e17c0220a42d906dfed5f34aea3f435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Diamondbacks, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers | 59c | 41,594$24,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,053.57 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 8,629$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Tigers | 61c | 7,008$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,018$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.67 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 4,343$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.63 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Tigers | 47c | 4,288$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.09 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Tigers | 57c | 4,222$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.46 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers | 60c | 3,767$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.67 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,386$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,999$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.61 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers | 47c | 2,677$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.08 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Tigers | 59c | 2,536$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.1 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,493$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.25 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…d179backed Tigers | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,250$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.48 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…8df9backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 57c | 1,981$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.7 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 55c | 1,877$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.8 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Tigers | 52c | 1,863$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.18 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…d066backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 37c | 1,682$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,672$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.64 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Tigers | 58c | 1,655$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,311$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.99 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1d10backed Tigers | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Tigers | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…df66backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…fae5backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…31a7backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,191$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…ff94backed Tigers | 56c | 1,184$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Tigers | 56c | 1,166$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c39fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…df8fbacked Tigers | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,090$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.24 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,087$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.22 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…0d88backed Tigers | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 970$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…8559backed Tigers | 56c | 964$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7deebacked Tigers | 56c | 902$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…455dbacked Tigers | 56c | 898$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…f5d9backed Tigers | 56c | 886$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…0d0cbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 882$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 880$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 859.97$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.39 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Tigers | 56c | 859$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 850$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…886fbacked Tigers | 56c | 841$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Tigers | 56c | 833.15$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.98 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5d11backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 818$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 816.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d51fbacked Tigers | 57c | 764.56$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…f529backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 740.86$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.22 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 740$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…8282backed Tigers | 56c | 714$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 625.77$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.57 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 624.45$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 622.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers | 58c | 576.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 566.52$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers | 57c | 526.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Tigers | 57c | 522.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Tigers | 57c | 500$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 495.35$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 495$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 483.26$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 471.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 46c | 460.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.44 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers | 47c | 459.68$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 431.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Tigers | 55c | 422.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 11c | 413.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Tigers | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 399.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 399.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 57c | 374.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 372.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Tigers | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 345$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 343.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers | 59c | 339.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Tigers | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Tigers | 58c | 318.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…6073backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 286.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 269.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.