CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. The MongolZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b94ceeb1871daca779f2af8feae2d6519d2985d5bc79c4bf73a8144b43f632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof Falcons, The MongolZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Falcons | 64c | 62,145$39,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,769.85 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…b27ebacked The MongolZ | 36c | 34,036$12,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,782.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked The MongolZ | 69c | 31,678$21,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.05 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed The MongolZ | 34c | 14,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,239.98 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked The MongolZ | 57c | 7,331$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.02 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed The MongolZ | 36c | 6,792$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.26 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Falcons | 65c | 6,789$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412.7 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed The MongolZ | 48c | 6,037$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.96 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Falcons | 41c | 4,867$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked The MongolZ | 66c | 4,387$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.16 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Falcons | 66c | 4,299$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.32 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed The MongolZ | 60c | 3,051$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked The MongolZ | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed The MongolZ | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.97 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Falcons | 63c | 2,599$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.6 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Falcons | 58c | 2,569$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed The MongolZ | 35c | 2,539$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.12 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed The MongolZ | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed The MongolZ | 37c | 1,993$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.58 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed The MongolZ | 70c | 1,951$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.94 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Falcons | 30c | 1,927$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.44 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked The MongolZ | 35c | 1,750$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked The MongolZ | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Falcons | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Falcons | 52c | 1,342$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.79 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Falcons | 52c | 1,304$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Falcons | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed The MongolZ | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed The MongolZ | 75c | 935.58$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Falcons | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ | 35c | 740.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Falcons | 63c | 709.91$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed The MongolZ | 61c | 700$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Falcons | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ | 35c | 600$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked The MongolZ | 36c | 541.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.58 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f37bbacked The MongolZ | 72c | 520.36$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed The MongolZ | 37c | 471.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Falcons | 50c | 464.87$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Falcons | 67c | 448.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ | 35c | 442.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed The MongolZ | 36c | 430.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.56 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Falcons | 65c | 413.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Falcons | 37c | 385.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed The MongolZ | 52c | 374.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed The MongolZ | 54c | 367.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Falcons | 42c | 349$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed The MongolZ | 37c | 340.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked The MongolZ | 68c | 309.07$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed The MongolZ | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Falcons | 57c | 295.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed The MongolZ | 38c | 290.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed The MongolZ | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Falcons | 52c | 270$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Falcons | 38c | 260.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed The MongolZ | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed The MongolZ | 53c | 239$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Falcons | 36c | 206.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked The MongolZ | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Falcons | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed The MongolZ | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Falcons | 16c | 197$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked The MongolZ | 46c | 194.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed The MongolZ | 58c | 183$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed The MongolZ | 33c | 182.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Falcons | 30c | 182.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Falcons | 56c | 162.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Falcons | 63c | 159.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed The MongolZ | 72c | 140.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked The MongolZ | 54c | 131.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Falcons | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed The MongolZ | 36c | 127.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed The MongolZ | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Falcons | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Falcons | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Falcons | 66c | 113.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked The MongolZ | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked The MongolZ | 74c | 107.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Falcons | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Falcons | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed The MongolZ | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed The MongolZ | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Falcons | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked The MongolZ | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ | 38c | 92.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Falcons | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…9d63backed Falcons | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked The MongolZ | 72c | 69.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…8989backed Falcons | 65c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Falcons | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…d2e2backed The MongolZ | 52c | 56.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked The MongolZ | 37c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…545cbacked The MongolZ | 55c | 52.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed The MongolZ | 36c | 51.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed The MongolZ | 72c | 51.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Falcons | 51c | 49.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Falcons | 49c | 49.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.