TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Storm vs Sparks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sparksof Storm, Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked Sparks38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,399.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Storm61c18,151$11,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,087.877440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Storm65c6,954$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Storm62c5,553$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.778548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Storm64c5,358$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.8514450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks36c5,253$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37213044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Sparks34c4,169$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Sparks38c3,552$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.338633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Storm60c3,474$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.067327.4%20 W · 53 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks35c3,101$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.7923931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6ea5backed Storm65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Storm67c2,493$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.51per pick65cpaid-73%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Storm62c2,392$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.237851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Storm62c1,849$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sparks37c1,823$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.323246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Sparks46c1,716$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.441861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Storm64c1,700$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.986546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Sparks36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.891457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Sparks10c1,006$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.272259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Sparks29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7108920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm62c990.02$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.676850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm62c843.73$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1312463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sparks36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51210337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Storm69c751.58$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.63943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Sparks35c675.74$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.237855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sparks47c650.78$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1219142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…ad5ebacked Sparks36c638.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x413c…1904backed Sparks35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Sparks32c519.25$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7723234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Sparks45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27512840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Sparks35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.992055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Storm65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Sparks19c454.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.645939%23 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Storm62c426.19$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.243938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Sparks36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed Storm61c411.45$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Storm57c401.2$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Sparks39c338.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.572646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Storm67c333.72$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.03520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa73e…9e1bbacked Storm61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Storm80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Sparks39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832050%10 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Storm62c295.42$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.265147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Sparks35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Storm64c272.25$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.242646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sparks39c258.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0231847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Storm61c246.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5623431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5627232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Storm59c209.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.762737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Sparks23c200.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.091546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+67.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Sparks33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1342634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Sparks41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188839.8%35 W · 53 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sparks38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12421337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Sparks58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Sparks38c197.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.283644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Sparks35c197.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.141560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Sparks79c195.64$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6112548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Storm56c177.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.858837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Storm62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Storm64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Storm67c149.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f5…066dbacked Sparks17c143.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Sparks35c136.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.641838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sparks32c126.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.932951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Storm62c121.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Storm63c119.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9911552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Sparks39c112$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.882860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks35c100.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.120642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Storm80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802272.7%16 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb8…de51backed Storm60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…48a0backed Sparks41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b8…6eb0backed Storm60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3567…cfa0backed Sparks41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Sparks11c99.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.994052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Storm44c99.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.474042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeceb…19f2backed Storm51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks35c78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Sparks32c71.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e3…e76cbacked Storm70c68.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Storm62c66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sparks37c64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.549839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4891…0165backed Sparks36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Sparks20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Storm63c49.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.031668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Sparks42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Sparks42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Sparks38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.914136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks64c43.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66460.9%39 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked Sparks42c41.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.171275%9 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Storm65c37.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd24…b40fbacked Storm65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef48…9bc9backed Sparks38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Sparks39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xabfb…5089backed Sparks36c28.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fe…9dd5backed Storm60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fd…47c6backed Storm58c23.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd14…a717backed Storm53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Storm62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aac…6145backed Storm67c16.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.