MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8620dce1014a75798c4db7e82336e0214edce39bf96b8877ae8895918fadb26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Red Sox, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Red Sox | 33c | 132,343$43,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,066.9 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 67c | 39,111$26,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,906.63 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 68c | 18,407$12,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.24 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 66c | 14,689$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.36 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillies | 68c | 11,521$7,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.79 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 33c | 11,420$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 68c | 7,330$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 63c | 6,890$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.62 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 67c | 6,700$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 65c | 6,171$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.81 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 67c | 5,867$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.03 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 53c | 5,668$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.67 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 32c | 5,189$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 68c | 4,360$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.06 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 67c | 4,200$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 68c | 3,539$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.35 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 58c | 3,469$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.27 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 68c | 3,052$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.64 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 66c | 3,041$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.35 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 61c | 3,001$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.78 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Red Sox | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…8a0ebacked Red Sox | 34c | 2,962$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 57c | 2,767$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.89 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 38c | 2,418$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.12 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Red Sox | 44c | 2,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 41c | 2,288$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.53 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 67c | 2,241$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.53 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Red Sox | 37c | 2,126$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 32c | 1,872$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Red Sox | 34c | 1,790$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 60c | 1,641$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.31 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 63c | 1,578$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.13 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 68c | 1,495$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.37 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Red Sox | 49c | 1,432$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.73 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 47c | 1,430$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.94 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,200$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 68c | 1,178$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 34c | 1,150$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Red Sox | 35c | 1,129$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.88 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,050$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 20c | 1,025$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Red Sox | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…5f39backed Phillies | 68c | 877$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 37c | 830.32$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 68c | 780$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 40c | 768.82$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Phillies | 67c | 661.19$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox | 33c | 568.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 34c | 551.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…074dbacked Red Sox | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…44cabacked Phillies | 65c | 550$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Red Sox | 34c | 535$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Phillies | 68c | 531.69$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Phillies | 68c | 488.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 33c | 453$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 73c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 56c | 399.04$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 78c | 354$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Phillies | 52c | 331.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Phillies | 68c | 317.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 32c | 312.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 67c | 304$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Red Sox | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 33c | 302.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Phillies | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Phillies | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 34c | 296.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…8f31backed Phillies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Red Sox | 32c | 291.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Phillies | 54c | 286.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox | 34c | 256$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Phillies | 68c | 255.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Red Sox | 33c | 249.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Phillies | 53c | 248.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Red Sox | 43c | 237.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Red Sox | 33c | 234$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 33c | 220.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Red Sox | 36c | 212.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Phillies | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Phillies | 67c | 170.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 68c | 168.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Red Sox | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Phillies | 56c | 162.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.