Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e1082ce158c0f1909c5a79e9b7d72019b9a00462c30afc7584fcf3cf091ea25

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $698,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $444,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,310 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7508…0b82backed Yes	1c	44,093$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes	18c	41,976$7,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,626.68	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e0…5d24backed Yes	0c	28,940$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.94	40	10%4 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes	13c	25,400$3,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,229.88	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	50c	12,584$6,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,268.25	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	32c	10,643$3,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,384.47	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	27c	9,856$2,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,630.96	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x599d…6521backed Yes	38c	8,982$3,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375.97	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	28c	8,700$2,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,419.47	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	34c	7,881$2,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,704.8	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	26c	6,553$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes	29c	6,017$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.99	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	8c	5,105$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.69	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	9c	5,050$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.78	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	22c	5,015$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.72	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	23c	4,803$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.42	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked Yes	36c	4,641$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.58	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	64c	4,470$2,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,867.07	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	24c	4,238$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.63	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	21c	4,136$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.24	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	13c	4,095$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.28	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe65b…2575backed Yes	19c	4,063$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.13	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	24c	3,956$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.14	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	39c	3,927$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.52	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes	56c	3,817$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150.35	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	3,794$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.63	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	37c	3,721$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.07	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	22c	3,548$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.16	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a24…71e8backed Yes	7c	3,515$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.5	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73c…9533backed Yes	8c	3,414$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	16c	3,411$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	43c	3,376$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.89	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…7599backed Yes	16c	3,217$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.2	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	21c	3,000$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	17c	2,797$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.16	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	21c	2,790$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.46	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	14c	2,785$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.38	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5643…5390backed Yes	28c	2,765$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a24…9508backed Yes	24c	2,485$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.21	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	12c	2,402$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.7	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	49c	2,396$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	60c	2,337$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.84	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	74c	2,312$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.57	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	5c	2,250$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+77.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	43c	2,238$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.36	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f4…dffdbacked Yes	42c	2,221$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.48	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes	62c	2,204$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,374.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	34c	2,172$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.62	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca7…d86fbacked Yes	45c	2,132$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.87	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	15c	2,094$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.28	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7c…9400backed Yes	15c	2,069$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.33	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	15c	2,062$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.76	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	13c	2,055$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.3	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes	37c	2,024$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Yes	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	35cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x388f…4083backed Yes	16c	1,988$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.45	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…d953backed Yes	30c	1,899$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.7	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c53…44f2backed Yes	37c	1,851$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.05	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x243f…5a02backed No	80c	1,814$1,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.55	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x221d…7207backed Yes	12c	1,790$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.3	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	31c	1,788$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	11c	1,784$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.37	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	21c	1,700$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.12	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	33c	1,655$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.54	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	29c	1,600$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.18	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Yes	7c	1,600$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ef…03efbacked Yes	14c	1,584$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.48	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd3b3…4fcdbacked Yes	29c	1,566$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.64	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No	76c	1,534$1,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.33	21	85.7%18 W · 3 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	67cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x602f…20e1backed Yes	34c	1,516$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.08	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc230…6192backed No	69c	1,513$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.42	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes	33c	1,493$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.42	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No	57c	1,490$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.97	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes	41c	1,456$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…13cdbacked Yes	44c	1,426$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.4	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc165…d349backed Yes	49c	1,362$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.42	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes	11c	1,354$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	45c	1,323$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.86	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	42c	1,321$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.16	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0223…34d1backed Yes	55c	1,293$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.85	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda15…2762backed Yes	34c	1,236$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.91	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda7…e11fbacked Yes	44c	1,229$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.31	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Yes	28c	1,206$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ce…b5d6backed Yes	48c	1,190$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.23	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb50…8cbabacked Yes	17c	1,173$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	21c	1,131$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.96	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	6c	1,126$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.57	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x890d…782cbacked Yes	18c	1,124$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.64	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed No	51c	1,105$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.46	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	33c	1,078$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes	15c	1,078$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.38	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	22c	1,060$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.4	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	18c	1,060$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.93	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No	61c	1,051$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.19	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d0…3b16backed Yes	20c	1,006$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1f…6f69backed Yes	42c	1,003$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes	20c	999.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	12c	940$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.8	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event