Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99414571aca688955888051e6b05abd2d13299ab882b4195615de5f8486238ae

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $645,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $383,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	8c	50,763$3,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,870.15	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes	12c	27,804$3,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,405.19	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	15c	22,145$3,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,362.81	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	9c	18,991$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.43	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	4c	17,122$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.26	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	4c	12,749$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.33	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	21c	10,786$2,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,297.17	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	17c	9,106$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.39	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	20c	8,573$1,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.72	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	21c	8,512$1,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,815.52	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	21c	8,050$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,658.9	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	21c	8,014$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.55	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	15c	8,000$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.45	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	6,751$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.27	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2256…b932backed Yes	1c	6,088$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.17	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…7599backed Yes	11c	6,049$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.31	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	20c	5,739$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.74	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda15…2762backed Yes	7c	5,512$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.4	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	11c	5,102$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.46	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	15c	4,936$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.98	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	17c	4,709$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.19	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	20c	4,517$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.98	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes	6c	4,271$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.98	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	22c	4,192$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.58	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	24c	4,136$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.72	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	4,041$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.09	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…2575backed Yes	12c	4,013$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.88	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes	1c	3,876$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.01	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…9a73backed Yes	6c	3,835$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.58	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	20c	3,789$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.75	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x599d…6521backed Yes	20c	3,739$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.9	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f8…e8b7backed Yes	1c	3,555$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb64e…9379backed Yes	15c	3,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	16c	3,500$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.99	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	3,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6054…d55ebacked Yes	19c	3,021$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	1c	3,010$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ef…03efbacked Yes	20c	3,000$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.57	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	2c	2,722$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	19c	2,719$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.6	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	23c	2,681$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.46	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	10c	2,616$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.38	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	2,467$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.05	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3357…d785backed Yes	1c	2,266$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	23c	2,258$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.3	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd0…de29backed Yes	36c	2,221$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	66c	2,210$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.08	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes	5c	2,135$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.81	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	10c	2,094$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.04	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked Yes	26c	2,074$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.84	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	5c	1,957$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	17c	1,918$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.15	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	12c	1,917$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.17	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f29…1e12backed Yes	2c	1,870$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a24…71e8backed Yes	18c	1,775$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.99	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	1,698$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda7…e11fbacked Yes	1c	1,677$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4100…253ebacked Yes	6c	1,675$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb50…8cbabacked Yes	25c	1,587$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,532$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	26c	1,532$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.05	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes	30c	1,475$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	17c	1,459$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.8	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	28c	1,422$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.66	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe79…9d68backed Yes	2c	1,381$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes	8c	1,339$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.25	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d50…8eebbacked No	77c	1,332$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.63	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	22c	1,307$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.11	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb840…5d93backed Yes	2c	1,301$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes	2c	1,297$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…d953backed Yes	23c	1,290$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	41c	1,262$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.03	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	24c	1,200$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	3c	1,195$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	22c	1,176$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.48	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	79c	1,114$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.73	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	17c	1,111$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.2	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	6c	1,043$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.3	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	22c	1,023$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.92	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	22c	1,018$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.38	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e3…6257backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…2d92backed Yes	17c	999.77$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+203%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x388f…4083backed No	73c	974.44$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.22	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	22c	940.42$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.86	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	2c	834.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Yes	3c	804.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf8…dba1backed Yes	17c	775$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.75	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa862…46e2backed Yes	14c	748.13$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.8	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	78c	722.11$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.83	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f4…dffdbacked Yes	22c	668.5$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.04	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	26c	615.38$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3400…14eebacked Yes	26c	606.9$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca7…d86fbacked No	75c	600$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	23c	595.41$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.45	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes	17c	591.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26b9…07f6backed Yes	20c	588.9$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.78	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	22c	574.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	8c	565.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.54	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	28c	558.53$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.5	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event