Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424d564a523339e2ce421cf8a3f872311aab531599c578557a8ee29fb3f5d81f

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $604,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $377,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,380 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x50a8…143fbacked Yes	0c	33,333$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	46	2.2%1 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	1c	31,075$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.86	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes	0c	17,972$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.26	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb10…49f2backed Yes	0c	17,853$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6054…d55ebacked Yes	4c	16,673$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	19c	15,368$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880.08	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	12c	11,250$1,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,402.5	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	17c	10,039$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.18	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	4c	9,556$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.49	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f1…b6bfbacked Yes	0c	8,841$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	12c	8,500$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.5	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	24c	8,094$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,967.54	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	13c	7,760$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.04	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	6c	7,607$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.95	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	12c	6,903$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.02	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked No	75c	6,667$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666.81	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	9c	6,515$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.77	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	5,692$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.62	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	1c	5,257$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.85	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	19c	5,180$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.34	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed Yes	1c	5,109$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.64	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c2…29f9backed Yes	17c	4,253$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.05	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	4,232$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.89	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	18c	4,145$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.08	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	21c	4,097$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.43	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…7599backed Yes	28c	3,522$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x599d…6521backed Yes	23c	3,420$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.32	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	3,362$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes	11c	3,339$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.48	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a24…71e8backed Yes	24c	3,213$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.46	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	24c	3,000$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb50…8cbabacked Yes	24c	2,895$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.64	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	3c	2,878$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.05	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	1c	2,830$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	23c	2,756$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.31	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…b348backed Yes	2c	2,652$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ea…c102backed Yes	12c	2,643$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.35	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,615$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.47	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28d5…8433backed Yes	4c	2,529$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64e…9379backed Yes	21c	2,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	15c	2,360$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.65	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x602f…20e1backed Yes	26c	2,339$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.76	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	20c	2,255$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.75	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd626…89cebacked Yes	20c	2,220$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.2	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ef…03efbacked Yes	18c	2,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.07	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5cd0…de29backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	12c	1,894$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.49	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	1,739$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	17c	1,530$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.22	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4526…4693backed Yes	26c	1,517$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e5…dbc9backed No	78c	1,500$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	4c	1,380$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	1,322$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.16	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	14c	1,312$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.65	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked Yes	14c	1,300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.76	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	17c	1,299$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.15	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes	2c	1,280$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.95	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c53…44f2backed Yes	19c	1,226$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.13	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda15…2762backed Yes	25c	1,195$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.41	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3400…14eebacked Yes	19c	1,173$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.58	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	23c	1,160$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.87	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	15c	1,149$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.07	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a6…aa13backed Yes	15c	1,134$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	16c	1,121$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.22	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	1c	1,096$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e3…6257backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5cd…ced6backed Yes	20c	986.96$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.39	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	13c	978.71$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.59	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	16c	950$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.5	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	13c	931.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.6	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	22c	909.76$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.51	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5dd…0acfbacked Yes	2c	894.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	890.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	79c	864.02$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.78	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b9…07f6backed Yes	9c	820.89$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.88	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	7c	790.02$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.03	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	7c	759.46$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.16	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	22c	718.7$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd78c…ca14backed Yes	16c	688.93$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	50	42%21 W · 29 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	28c	659.55$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.72	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d8…41a9backed Yes	13c	630.77$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	21cpaid	+80%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…d953backed Yes	23c	627.07$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes	26c	615.21$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.95	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes	19c	584.53$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f19…fe87backed Yes	20c	579.54$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.83	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	19c	578.15$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.91	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe69e…61d2backed Yes	18c	555.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b5…1be0backed Yes	29c	548.52$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.07	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	19c	539.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes	19c	517.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53dd…2a64backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf305…2ca7backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	12c	499.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	23c	499.99$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.33	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	12c	484.98$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.15	85	14.1%12 W · 73 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9de…3af5backed Yes	21c	470.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d16…9686backed Yes	18c	456.51$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event