Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d942f2e0cf53bfa011093df593ec0389e17c8f0df527f2d20ff5fb69cdac42d

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $736,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $386,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	5c	40,940$1,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,973.63	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	2c	28,537$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.41	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes	6c	25,132$1,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,572.54	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	9c	20,483$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.94	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x602f…20e1backed Yes	0c	17,452$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	5c	14,363$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.99	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	3c	12,010$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.36	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	2c	11,000$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.81	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5637…7599backed Yes	6c	10,690$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	8c	10,671$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.61	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	8c	9,176$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.11	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	6c	8,676$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.3	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	8,607$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.19	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	4c	8,330$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.35	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	7,811$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.39	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	7,323$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.84	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34ec…bbb2backed Yes	0c	6,717$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes	10c	6,708$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.76	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	3c	6,621$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.18	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d57…a418backed Yes	12c	6,544$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	6,334$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.91	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	7c	6,300$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6db…b117backed Yes	1c	5,827$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes	1c	5,654$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.67	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-89.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa817…4074backed Yes	1c	5,500$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	6c	5,385$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.92	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…9a73backed Yes	4c	5,278$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes	13c	4,699$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.99	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	9c	4,598$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.87	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	10c	4,063$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.28	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	6c	4,052$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.27	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	4,000$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	3,676$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.2	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes	1c	3,484$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes	6c	3,450$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	4c	3,376$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.68	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	3,237$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.23	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda7…e11fbacked Yes	9c	3,078$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.39	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	7c	2,993$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.2	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	1c	2,952$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda15…2762backed Yes	5c	2,926$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.26	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	1c	2,815$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	3c	2,798$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	9c	2,591$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.62	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	3c	2,548$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.81	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc165…d349backed Yes	1c	2,534$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…9400backed Yes	7c	2,513$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.67	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a24…9508backed Yes	11c	2,502$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.93	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Yes	2c	2,423$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.88	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+10.5wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	12c	2,366$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.96	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	10c	2,308$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.8	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked Yes	7c	2,200$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.2	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	11c	2,060$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.96	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes	10c	2,029$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	35cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d6…21f7backed Yes	4c	1,987$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	9c	1,977$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.99	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	9c	1,820$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.71	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a24…71e8backed Yes	6c	1,750$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.5	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f8…a80abacked Yes	2c	1,649$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-61%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb02e…25e5backed Yes	4c	1,634$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.33	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	2c	1,500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	1,484$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.74	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5348…e4ffbacked Yes	4c	1,468$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.59	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e22…3061backed Yes	3c	1,454$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	1c	1,358$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x890d…782cbacked Yes	2c	1,338$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221d…7207backed Yes	5c	1,311$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…c58abacked Yes	1c	1,282$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	9c	1,230$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.11	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4340…0202backed Yes	1c	1,212$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	10c	1,210$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.43	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	4c	1,200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	9c	1,175$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	7c	1,164$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625c…61d1backed Yes	2c	1,141$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	16c	1,124$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55f3…25d7backed Yes	4c	1,104$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	7c	1,100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	9c	1,069$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.84	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5039…da8ebacked Yes	5c	1,058$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	1,014$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f6…6abdbacked Yes	10c	1,011$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf8…dba1backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes	5c	1,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	11c	957.12$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	6c	899.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.18	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes	11c	886.8$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.88	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b73…a66bbacked Yes	11c	884.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb840…5d93backed Yes	5c	864.51$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.26	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes	12c	860.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	7c	851$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.06	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd626…89cebacked Yes	3c	840.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c2…a7afbacked Yes	7c	813$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes	5c	750$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	48	4.2%2 W · 46 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa862…46e2backed Yes	9c	746.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	5c	715.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.58	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ff…3b9dbacked Yes	3c	715$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	18cpaid	+203.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4c8…ce48backed Yes	8c	662.87$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 11–18?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event