MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7768c7950a274339df9a6b0c2bcbac8945d93e245b38bd6f8af65a31866ef27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 54c | 59,145$32,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,209.79 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 26c | 55,084$14,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,177.9 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 42,389$19,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,988.59 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 24,830$10,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,153.36 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 75c | 24,830$18,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.79 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 13c | 22,798$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 20,765$8,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,836.05 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 70c | 18,600$12,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.19 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 47c | 16,950$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,911.97 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 55c | 16,606$9,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,203.7 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 39c | 14,235$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 40c | 10,220$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 51c | 5,928$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 76c | 5,371$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.09 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yankees | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 57c | 5,000$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.74 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 55c | 3,928$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 3,608$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.71 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,076$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.55 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Blue Jays | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yankees | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Yankees | 50c | 2,879$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.96 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Yankees | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Blue Jays | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yankees | 1c | 2,198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Blue Jays | 39c | 2,030$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.14 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Yankees | 62c | 2,000$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Yankees | 57c | 1,896$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,713$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.15 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 31c | 1,487$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,446$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.8 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 36c | 1,380$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.04 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.11 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 55c | 1,217$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 1,161$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 12c | 1,159$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.92 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…f88ebacked Yankees | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,078$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.64 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yankees | 31c | 1,017$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.03 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.36 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…d50bbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jays | 43c | 999.95$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 70c | 950$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 53c | 939.08$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.95 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 886.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 1c | 853.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Yankees | 53c | 747.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Yankees | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 31c | 700.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 44c | 687.89$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.22 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Yankees | 44c | 683.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 638.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.49 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 39c | 608.88$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 551.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 32c | 550$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 44c | 545$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 2c | 533.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Blue Jays | 44c | 530$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 66c | 521.05$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Blue Jays | 40c | 490.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yankees | 35c | 460.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 63c | 357.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Yankees | 57c | 355$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…e273backed Blue Jays | 45c | 343.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…2405backed Yankees | 34c | 341$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yankees | 56c | 331.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 59c | 320$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 34c | 317.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jays | 43c | 316.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 306$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yankees | 52c | 290.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Yankees | 42c | 284.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 10c | 264.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Yankees | 61c | 257.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Yankees | 36c | 255.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Yankees | 39c | 246.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays | 43c | 241.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yankees | 57c | 231.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 56c | 227.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 43c | 220.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 43c | 219.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Yankees | 49c | 182.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yankees | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Yankees | 35c | 179.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.