MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f9893187b7ae38608463c38a7ff3ce6322f006ddc8fe2b6c3b260c10e48d208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Orioles, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 57c | 8,076$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.14 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Orioles | 41c | 5,100$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.67 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Orioles | 45c | 3,364$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.66 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Orioles | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 55c | 2,845$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.13 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 41c | 2,443$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,398$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Orioles | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Guardians | 61c | 2,262$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.03 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Guardians | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Orioles | 46c | 2,176$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.76 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 52c | 2,134$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Orioles | 52c | 1,910$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 34c | 1,578$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 65c | 1,511$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.34 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 43c | 1,240$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.03 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians | 54c | 1,182$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.72 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Orioles | 45c | 1,118$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Orioles | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.27 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Guardians | 55c | 977.95$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.08 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…83bbbacked Guardians | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…c2aebacked Orioles | 46c | 892.58$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Guardians | 53c | 871.21$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.47 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 23c | 737.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 38c | 732.92$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…ba53backed Guardians | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Orioles | 56c | 671$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 75c | 602.33$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 45c | 509.1$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 78c | 500$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Orioles | 45c | 499.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Guardians | 53c | 469.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Guardians | 54c | 466.55$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 45c | 456.36$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 51c | 444.59$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 46c | 439.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 48c | 413.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Guardians | 70c | 364.48$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 40c | 353.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.87 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 55c | 275.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 27c | 262.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 33c | 260.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Guardians | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Orioles | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 62c | 205.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…45eabacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…eea8backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…324cbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…408cbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…b301backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…684fbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda05…8b12backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…d3eabacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3e8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…bdf5backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…d412backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0700backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.