Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. ThunderTalk Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd78a63d1fc2abdd65144a6f34f399b507fbce24336e0e4f067f37fd391c33f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 19,230$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.75 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 733.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 532.26$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked EDward Gaming | 74c | 400$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 283.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked EDward Gaming | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 247.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…22a1backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 123$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked EDward Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed EDward Gaming | 74c | 48.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked EDward Gaming | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…869cbacked EDward Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 26.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.