TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Aces vs Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Aces, Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Valkyries33c15,004$4,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Aces75c8,683$6,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.672657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4685…9ba8backed Valkyries43c8,530$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Aces67c8,168$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.812259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Aces64c7,311$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.937440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Valkyries35c6,887$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4287236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Aces67c5,671$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.573762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aces65c4,804$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.0414450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Aces69c3,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9821440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces67c2,753$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.637855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries32c2,508$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6223931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Valkyries29c2,459$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.797327.4%20 W · 53 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Valkyries34c2,183$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7458633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Aces65c1,558$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.391931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Aces68c1,516$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.181258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Aces69c1,452$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.321080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Aces60c1,410$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.21947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Valkyries32c1,100$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries24c1,078$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.616346%29 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Valkyries32c999.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.996546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Valkyries15c874.11$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9923234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Valkyries43c822.32$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries33c799.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Valkyries40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries17c686$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.248920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Valkyries33c672.64$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.627929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries8c625.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.520642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18612840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Valkyries29c527.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Valkyries36c423.15$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.788837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Aces66c391.57$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries26c385.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2531847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Aces66c335.47$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.48551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Aces66c333$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Aces65c326.51$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.282626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Valkyries33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9312833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Valkyries34c295.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Valkyries33c295.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.372853.6%15 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Aces68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122568%17 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Aces78c290$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries35c289.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Valkyries7c241.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.06624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Valkyries34c220.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0150%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Aces73c206.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries32c199.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9821337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Aces67c187.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.886850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Aces76c157$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.152450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Valkyries28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Aces73c136.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.756460.9%39 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Valkyries31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Valkyries36c122.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.064443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Valkyries29c120.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Aces53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2419142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Aces75c106.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.271942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Valkyries31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Aces53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308839.8%35 W · 53 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Aces66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f2…e323backed Valkyries32c86.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c0…a00ebacked Aces68c84.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Aces65c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Aces68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Valkyries35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f45…d3b1backed Valkyries33c66.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…d9efbacked Aces68c66.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551090%9 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.39per pick51cpaid+80.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Aces67c62.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.715147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Aces76c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.886637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Valkyries33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries20c52.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6713044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Aces73c43.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.94742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Valkyries33c36.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.119839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Aces66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab9…0f32backed Aces68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…b83fbacked Aces68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b6f…d9dfbacked Aces68c29.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5042…fcb0backed Aces69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Aces79c26.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…bf28backed Aces67c24.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…04eabacked Aces67c22.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeceb…19f2backed Aces67c21.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd376…1eefbacked Aces67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e3…e76cbacked Aces73c17.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d5…406fbacked Aces67c14.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…647bbacked Aces67c14.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7484…971ebacked Aces67c14.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.