Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa59a2e8dcc83c3f997717fd351bcde12b64560891a57c029598c7d86301e06cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 7,173$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.84 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 5,555$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.04 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 3,055$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.03 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 2,422$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.75 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 2,141$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.33 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed BNK FEARX | 14c | 1,654$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed BNK FEARX | 20c | 1,651$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 1,418$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.53 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Dplus KIA | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.27 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 1,337$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 1,311$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.27 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 1,261$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 1,065$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.61 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f37bbacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 508.03$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 487.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed BNK FEARX | 12c | 468.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed BNK FEARX | 14c | 350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Dplus KIA | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 282.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA | 67c | 248.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked BNK FEARX | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed BNK FEARX | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed BNK FEARX | 15c | 156$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Dplus KIA | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b785backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 110.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 104.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Dplus KIA | 74c | 103.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 92.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed BNK FEARX | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 69.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Dplus KIA | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Dplus KIA | 76c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.