CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c99093aa98292a6e67232474efe898a3f195aa2b4cb2ff87ac0fbd3a9b7c7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e71…b27ebacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 32,575$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,026.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked MOUZ | 74c | 23,974$17,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,137.9 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 11,235$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.1 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed MOUZ | 64c | 6,179$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.74 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 5,703$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.58 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 63c | 5,371$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.33 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 4,517$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,326$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,259$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,199$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked MOUZ | 64c | 3,000$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,693$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 2,068$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.42 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed MOUZ | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,144$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,105$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,098$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.08 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,086$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.92 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 867.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.69 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 776.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.66 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed MOUZ | 64c | 720.81$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed MOUZ | 63c | 716$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ | 66c | 627.18$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 625.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 599.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…8022backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 557.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 547.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked MOUZ | 64c | 521.66$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 460$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 335.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 311$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 304.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed MOUZ | 68c | 293.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed MOUZ | 69c | 274.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 242.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 232$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed MOUZ | 61c | 220$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 219$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 217.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…d2e2backed MOUZ | 74c | 216.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed MOUZ | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed MOUZ | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked MOUZ | 79c | 196.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 195$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 181.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed MOUZ | 59c | 179.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed MOUZ | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked MOUZ | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed MOUZ | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked MOUZ | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 136.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed MOUZ | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed MOUZ | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked MOUZ | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…8f58backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 91.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…9191backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 87.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed MOUZ | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed MOUZ | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ | 67c | 61.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 54.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed MOUZ | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 51.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 51.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed MOUZ | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 44.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 62c | 40.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed MOUZ | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ | 61c | 26.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7badbacked MOUZ | 64c | 25.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…16febacked MOUZ | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 23.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked MOUZ | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcde…2444backed MOUZ | 75c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.