NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x132d39baa2c8e89b25209aa777ecd471400a06879a41b2a1330e46003ded9c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pelicans, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pelicans | 30c | 27,618$8,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.54 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 43c | 8,820$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.77 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Thunder | 59c | 7,588$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.91 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,440$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Thunder | 75c | 5,047$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.02 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Thunder | 74c | 3,858$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.53 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans | 37c | 3,395$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.22 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Thunder | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Thunder | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pelicans | 22c | 2,435$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans | 35c | 2,180$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 66c | 1,960$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.22 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,656$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.63 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Thunder | 79c | 1,627$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Thunder | 75c | 1,456$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,356$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.28 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Thunder | 66c | 1,323$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.61 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pelicans | 28c | 1,034$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,006$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pelicans | 21c | 934.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Thunder | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Thunder | 75c | 891.52$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…8922backed Pelicans | 27c | 823.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Thunder | 71c | 661.85$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Thunder | 55c | 521.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder | 60c | 475$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Pelicans | 43c | 466.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pelicans | 20c | 452.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pelicans | 20c | 432.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Thunder | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Thunder | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Thunder | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Pelicans | 14c | 230$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Thunder | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 74c | 198.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Thunder | 77c | 195$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed Pelicans | 7c | 193.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Pelicans | 24c | 188$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Thunder | 63c | 177.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Thunder | 60c | 177.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 23c | 153.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Thunder | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pelicans | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…9480backed Pelicans | 23c | 144.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Thunder | 72c | 140.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Pelicans | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Thunder | 75c | 134.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Thunder | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Pelicans | 22c | 117.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Pelicans | 27c | 111.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pelicans | 37c | 100.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Thunder | 74c | 100.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Thunder | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Thunder | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Thunder | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Pelicans | 21c | 99.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…b222backed Pelicans | 23c | 97.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Pelicans | 38c | 96.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Pelicans | 19c | 94.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pelicans | 22c | 90.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 62c | 89.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Thunder | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Thunder | 68c | 80.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Thunder | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pelicans | 22c | 71.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Thunder | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Thunder | 60c | 69.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Pelicans | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Pelicans | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…05adbacked Thunder | 80c | 63.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Pelicans | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Thunder | 77c | 62.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Thunder | 59c | 62.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Pelicans | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 78c | 61.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…7da4backed Thunder | 79c | 54.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Pelicans | 41c | 53.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…e2bdbacked Thunder | 80c | 52.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…cf8bbacked Thunder | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…17b3backed Thunder | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Thunder | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Pelicans | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked Thunder | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pelicans | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Pelicans | 23c | 49.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…b713backed Thunder | 79c | 49.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…bc17backed Thunder | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…9841backed Thunder | 79c | 46.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Thunder | 77c | 44.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Thunder | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…c3d2backed Thunder | 79c | 38.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Thunder | 78c | 36.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.