NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f23889853ca74bd87f789003d5c1394f923189f2564ee8eeaf89ade1f225d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Warriors, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Warriors | 34c | 6,399$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.67 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 22c | 5,987$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.24 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Warriors | 27c | 4,695$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…2a4ebacked Raptors | 77c | 4,608$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 24c | 4,474$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.08 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 78c | 4,019$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.34 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Raptors | 60c | 3,153$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.54 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Warriors | 28c | 2,764$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Warriors | 1c | 2,731$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 49c | 2,329$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.65 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Warriors | 44c | 2,268$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Warriors | 58c | 2,185$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.37 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 61c | 1,714$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Raptors | 57c | 1,631$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.18 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 9c | 1,629$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Raptors | 65c | 1,396$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Raptors | 77c | 1,342$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Raptors | 50c | 1,337$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.5 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Raptors | 75c | 1,296$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Raptors | 76c | 1,240$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.51 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Warriors | 33c | 1,208$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Warriors | 17c | 1,150$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,089$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.26 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors | 77c | 1,075$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Warriors | 39c | 1,028$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Warriors | 25c | 804.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Warriors | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Raptors | 79c | 775$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Warriors | 53c | 754.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Warriors | 28c | 705.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 10c | 700$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Raptors | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Warriors | 25c | 596.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 2c | 536.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Raptors | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Warriors | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Raptors | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Warriors | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Warriors | 18c | 451.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Warriors | 43c | 412.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Raptors | 76c | 409.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors | 59c | 409.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Warriors | 24c | 380$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 26c | 379.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Warriors | 59c | 376.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 27c | 371.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Raptors | 73c | 371$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Raptors | 74c | 351.42$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 73c | 319$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 33c | 303.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Warriors | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Raptors | 71c | 290.07$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 70c | 282.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 25c | 277.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Warriors | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Warriors | 24c | 234.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Warriors | 55c | 233.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Warriors | 26c | 209.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc8…bf2bbacked Raptors | 75c | 209.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Warriors | 23c | 200.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Warriors | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Warriors | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Warriors | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Warriors | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Raptors | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Warriors | 27c | 186.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Warriors | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Raptors | 75c | 174.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…b222backed Warriors | 24c | 164.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Raptors | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Raptors | 73c | 146.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Raptors | 77c | 141.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Raptors | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Raptors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed Raptors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…5e89backed Warriors | 27c | 117.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…701abacked Warriors | 25c | 112.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…1bc3backed Warriors | 26c | 110.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Warriors | 29c | 106.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Warriors | 29c | 103.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Raptors | 75c | 102.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Warriors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Warriors | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…2c07backed Warriors | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Raptors | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Raptors | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Warriors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Warriors | 22c | 90.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Warriors | 60c | 89.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Raptors | 67c | 88.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…94cebacked Raptors | 77c | 82.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Warriors | 49c | 81.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Raptors | 76c | 80.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Warriors | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…0cb6backed Raptors | 76c | 79.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.