NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x691b7a8b38ef50f645ce6d2f50a089a4a708c5ab4a87aecb65ec904157c04186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 33c | 8,284$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.55 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mavericks | 36c | 8,212$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,238.78 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mavericks | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…f3afbacked Magic | 67c | 2,651$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 66c | 1,400$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.46 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Magic | 66c | 1,308$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.92 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.99 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Magic | 19c | 1,190$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 72c | 1,181$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,161$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 26c | 1,142$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Mavericks | 35c | 976.92$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Magic | 64c | 892.22$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 65c | 816.44$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.24 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 66c | 766$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.56 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Magic | 67c | 420.63$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 42c | 414.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Magic | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Magic | 67c | 299.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Magic | 66c | 294.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Mavericks | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Mavericks | 42c | 209.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mavericks | 34c | 200.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.27 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Magic | 42c | 194.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Magic | 61c | 185.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Mavericks | 33c | 180.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Mavericks | 34c | 176$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Magic | 59c | 174.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…cf8bbacked Magic | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Mavericks | 39c | 165.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Magic | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bd5cbacked Magic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Mavericks | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…740fbacked Magic | 65c | 149.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Mavericks | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mavericks | 36c | 114.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614a…e568backed Mavericks | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…4a77backed Mavericks | 37c | 108.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Mavericks | 52c | 108.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…01d5backed Magic | 64c | 107.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…d563backed Magic | 61c | 105$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Magic | 68c | 103.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…04b1backed Magic | 51c | 103.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mavericks | 36c | 100.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mavericks | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Magic | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…c4a4backed Mavericks | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Magic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…4ba5backed Mavericks | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…98f2backed Mavericks | 36c | 99.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Magic | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Magic | 21c | 91.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…a1a1backed Mavericks | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…6e2bbacked Magic | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…f0abbacked Mavericks | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…ee61backed Mavericks | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…00dcbacked Magic | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…ee51backed Magic | 65c | 86.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Magic | 60c | 84.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…b8e8backed Mavericks | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…7962backed Magic | 65c | 81.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Mavericks | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…77b4backed Mavericks | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…c01abacked Magic | 60c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…5574backed Mavericks | 33c | 78.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…8526backed Magic | 62c | 77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Magic | 68c | 73.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Magic | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Mavericks | 42c | 72.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Mavericks | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Magic | 65c | 66.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Magic | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Magic | 68c | 63.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Mavericks | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Mavericks | 36c | 61.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Mavericks | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Mavericks | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…a866backed Magic | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mavericks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Mavericks | 35c | 57.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Mavericks | 37c | 54.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…f631backed Magic | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…2c07backed Magic | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…6160backed Mavericks | 36c | 51.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Magic | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mavericks | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Mavericks | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…37d7backed Magic | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…9b48backed Magic | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…1225backed Magic | 67c | 41.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…5175backed Magic | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…9bc9backed Mavericks | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Mavericks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Mavericks | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…9a10backed Mavericks | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…e40abacked Magic | 63c | 38.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…c362backed Mavericks | 78c | 37.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.