MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d52e331ccf5626f91abf060424760d840902b0494e2a63ed2f114d95176d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Padres, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Padres | 55c | 31,196$17,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,239.76 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 42c | 10,953$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.86 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 41c | 10,289$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 18c | 4,735$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 59c | 3,833$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 37c | 3,156$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.26 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.95 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 38c | 2,993$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 54c | 2,453$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Padres | 58c | 2,230$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.39 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 56c | 2,132$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…247cbacked Marlins | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 42c | 2,003$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.02 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Padres | 15c | 1,938$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…08bdbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,922$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…f32ebacked Padres | 57c | 1,922$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…8df9backed Marlins | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Padres | 57c | 1,732$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.01 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…3b86backed Marlins | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…a437backed Padres | 57c | 1,547$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Padres | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Marlins | 42c | 1,441$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.05 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…feedbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…4074backed Marlins | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.7 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…9fc1backed Padres | 57c | 1,235$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…836bbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…c1a7backed Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…8d8dbacked Padres | 57c | 1,181$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,172$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…3d17backed Padres | 57c | 1,165$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…e4a6backed Padres | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…a6b9backed Marlins | 43c | 1,128$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…0ba4backed Padres | 57c | 1,119$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…ff94backed Padres | 57c | 1,114$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…d3e9backed Marlins | 43c | 1,112$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3595…834dbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,088$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7c41backed Padres | 57c | 1,086$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f64…9aa0backed Padres | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Marlins | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.76 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8e5ebacked Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…0d88backed Padres | 57c | 979$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Marlins | 42c | 966.4$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.18 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…a06fbacked Padres | 57c | 960$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 13c | 927.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…8559backed Padres | 57c | 921$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…c471backed Marlins | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 43c | 730.44$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.35 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 14c | 719.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Padres | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Padres | 58c | 690.76$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Marlins | 49c | 641.18$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Padres | 46c | 610.55$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 40c | 585$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 41c | 551.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.68 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 58c | 544$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 25c | 439.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Padres | 47c | 419.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Marlins | 55c | 364.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 58c | 330$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 41c | 317$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 43c | 308$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 56c | 279.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres | 43c | 276.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Marlins | 78c | 270.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Padres | 57c | 266.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 19c | 259.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 45c | 242.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 220.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Padres | 42c | 219.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Marlins | 60c | 212.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 58c | 195.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Marlins | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 26c | 178.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Marlins | 43c | 172.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 43c | 171$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.