Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. T1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf82ce61e3909356c2aa5e0efe25525d268996a54491fc2d3a7fee92078c5bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of KT Rolster, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed KT Rolster | 25c | 31,456$8,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed KT Rolster | 26c | 23,315$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.64 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b0…be26backed T1 | 74c | 16,692$12,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed T1 | 74c | 12,285$9,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.22 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked KT Rolster | 26c | 11,229$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.06 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed T1 | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked T1 | 75c | 7,299$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed T1 | 74c | 7,282$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.14 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked KT Rolster | 25c | 7,011$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed KT Rolster | 26c | 5,555$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.3 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed T1 | 75c | 4,682$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.41 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed KT Rolster | 27c | 3,593$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed T1 | 74c | 3,000$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed T1 | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.11 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed T1 | 75c | 1,362$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…fb1bbacked T1 | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked T1 | 74c | 1,347$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed KT Rolster | 27c | 1,312$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KT Rolster | 25c | 1,062$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.59 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed T1 | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed T1 | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed T1 | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed T1 | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T1 | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked T1 | 75c | 776.39$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed T1 | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked T1 | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed KT Rolster | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed T1 | 74c | 415$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed T1 | 75c | 410$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked T1 | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed T1 | 74c | 271.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed T1 | 75c | 262.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed T1 | 75c | 201.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed KT Rolster | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed KT Rolster | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…63c2backed T1 | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed T1 | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…4357backed T1 | 74c | 153.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…29aebacked T1 | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed T1 | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed T1 | 74c | 134.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed T1 | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed T1 | 76c | 131.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed T1 | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed KT Rolster | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed T1 | 73c | 111.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked KT Rolster | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked KT Rolster | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed KT Rolster | 25c | 87.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed KT Rolster | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…3f76backed T1 | 76c | 61.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b785backed T1 | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed KT Rolster | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…d84ebacked T1 | 74c | 50.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed KT Rolster | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked T1 | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked T1 | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed T1 | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d348backed T1 | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked T1 | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…096ebacked T1 | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked T1 | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed T1 | 74c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd6…a5e2backed T1 | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.