TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x979f…d84e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$15.18
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.95
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$157
League of Legends: Nongshim Esports Academy vs. Dplus KIA Challengersbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: KT Rolster Challengers vs. DRX Challengersbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
League of Legends: KT Rolster Challengers vs. T1 Academybacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.95
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$21.66
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$25.01
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.01
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.88
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.42
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$29.29
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$178.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$42.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$39.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.