World Politics · resolved market
Yoon arrested by July 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7035aa7555c84710f78a64c3f91c232d03a7153af0fdcf2a01f7838033204afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,211,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,211,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d90…3259backed No | 28c | 69,428$19,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,773.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 65c | 65,570$42,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,093.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 49,451$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.38 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…09e0backed No | 3c | 38,421$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 67c | 34,948$23,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,435.99 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…ec2ebacked No | 0c | 33,250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +333.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 61c | 29,798$18,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,558.09 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…3322backed No | 3c | 28,500$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df2…4e6cbacked No | 4c | 24,425$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…25a7backed No | 3c | 22,846$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 1c | 21,594$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed No | 0c | 19,995$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 4c | 18,949$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.54 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 7c | 18,330$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.9 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed Yes | 69c | 17,400$11,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 23c | 16,047$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.17 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…fa87backed No | 0c | 15,809$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 1c | 15,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…4f1ebacked No | 8c | 14,254$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7b…ab48backed No | 5c | 13,524$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 75c | 12,436$9,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.95 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked No | 4c | 12,386$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…c831backed No | 1c | 12,344$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed No | 3c | 10,750$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c7…addabacked No | 3c | 10,612$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed No | 3c | 10,341$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…f55dbacked No | 3c | 10,262$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +471.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 55c | 10,092$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 65c | 9,395$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.29 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 8,374$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.58 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked No | 7c | 8,129$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.64 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6696…57c5backed No | 4c | 7,821$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 41c | 7,734$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.94 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed No | 4c | 7,461$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 1c | 7,283$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 57c | 7,113$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.06 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 73c | 6,833$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…e1ffbacked No | 8c | 6,829$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b232backed No | 0c | 6,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…99a1backed No | 0c | 6,386$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked No | 20c | 6,134$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 6,079$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed No | 5c | 6,016$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…5ec5backed No | 5c | 5,663$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…5d93backed No | 1c | 5,628$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…41b9backed No | 13c | 5,560$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 24c | 5,319$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.61 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed No | 5c | 5,309$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked No | 5c | 5,251$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 50c | 5,218$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…ab05backed No | 2c | 5,107$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 1c | 4,963$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…2e62backed No | 4c | 4,868$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…39b8backed No | 4c | 4,802$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed No | 9c | 4,795$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…54c1backed No | 6c | 4,633$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 7c | 4,551$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed No | 5c | 4,402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…f27bbacked No | 6c | 4,382$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…58aabacked No | 4c | 4,009$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 71c | 3,984$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed No | 7c | 3,605$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…172dbacked No | 5c | 3,531$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 1c | 3,515$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed No | 9c | 3,443$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 15c | 3,411$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.31 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 6c | 3,392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 3,392$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.24 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 9c | 3,326$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 2c | 3,303$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 47c | 3,253$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.6 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0541…5ecfbacked No | 16c | 3,103$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed No | 2c | 2,946$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…0974backed No | 4c | 2,919$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…6da5backed No | 4c | 2,898$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 2,800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 2,800$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.8 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed No | 4c | 2,749$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…2f77backed No | 3c | 2,633$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +494%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked No | 13c | 2,558$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,445$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 2,435$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.69 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 6c | 2,338$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +626.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865b…5254backed No | 5c | 2,302$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…24f4backed No | 7c | 2,267$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 61c | 2,262$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.67 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…4252backed No | 5c | 2,109$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…06ecbacked No | 2c | 2,098$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 6c | 2,090$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked No | 2c | 2,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e14abacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…77a4backed No | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 36c | 1,967$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.27 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 75c | 1,905$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.65 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…deafbacked No | 55c | 1,903$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 68c | 1,860$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.19 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 12c | 1,800$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 69c | 1,784$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.