Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: KT Rolster Challengers vs. DRX Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de0a9eb137866bb2412a8a8961d5c255216da65a332534044b089bbed04eaeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolsterof KT Rolster, DRX Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed DRX Challengers | 22c | 6,235$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.78 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed KT Rolster | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked KT Rolster | 80c | 1,083$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed KT Rolster | 78c | 1,053$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed DRX Challengers | 20c | 1,042$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX Challengers | 21c | 952.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed KT Rolster | 80c | 315$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed KT Rolster | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Rolster | 80c | 225.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KT Rolster | 78c | 159.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed KT Rolster | 78c | 129.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked KT Rolster | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DRX Challengers | 23c | 55.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked DRX Challengers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…d84ebacked KT Rolster | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked KT Rolster | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.