CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1f9ed45b5a5587db31f157a198c0b2b470b6c244fbee6c692fe35e9a4cd239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked MOUZ | 33c | 47,343$15,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,724.13 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed MOUZ | 37c | 26,623$9,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,777.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Vitality | 29c | 24,490$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.77 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Vitality | 70c | 23,100$16,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,109.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 27c | 22,804$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,758.97 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked MOUZ | 25c | 18,349$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,748.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Vitality | 52c | 17,892$9,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250.58 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…cc19backed Vitality | 78c | 15,384$11,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,930 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 22c | 15,383$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.06 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed MOUZ | 22c | 14,210$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,047.36 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality | 79c | 14,177$11,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,237.78 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Vitality | 78c | 12,630$9,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.65 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ | 20c | 12,517$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,012.79 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 47c | 11,402$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.48 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Vitality | 78c | 10,849$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,462.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 22c | 10,637$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.36 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Vitality | 11c | 10,470$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.96 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked MOUZ | 23c | 7,702$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.17 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Vitality | 77c | 7,562$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.41 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Vitality | 69c | 6,675$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Vitality | 76c | 5,707$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.57 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Vitality | 47c | 5,050$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Vitality | 80c | 5,014$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.35 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Vitality | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Vitality | 63c | 3,876$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Vitality | 44c | 3,759$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed MOUZ | 23c | 3,651$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Vitality | 77c | 3,550$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality | 79c | 3,165$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Vitality | 77c | 2,870$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Vitality | 71c | 2,704$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Vitality | 80c | 2,552$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.21 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…bb5ebacked Vitality | 77c | 2,486$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…1453backed Vitality | 51c | 2,214$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,149$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.94 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed MOUZ | 23c | 2,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 23c | 2,027$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.45 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Vitality | 68c | 2,006$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.73 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Vitality | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked MOUZ | 21c | 1,957$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.14 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…44a0backed Vitality | 78c | 1,849$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…d851backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,848$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Vitality | 42c | 1,800$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 72c | 1,616$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.95 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,582$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.56 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Vitality | 62c | 1,577$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Vitality | 79c | 1,554$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.55 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,515$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.08 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Vitality | 78c | 1,390$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.47 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Vitality | 14c | 1,283$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…ac37backed Vitality | 50c | 1,185$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Vitality | 80c | 1,176$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality | 1c | 1,153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,092$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.36 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked Vitality | 78c | 1,090$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Vitality | 79c | 1,045$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Vitality | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Vitality | 18c | 979$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed MOUZ | 17c | 967.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.22 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 54c | 940$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Vitality | 75c | 932.69$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed Vitality | 78c | 928.5$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Vitality | 79c | 900$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Vitality | 29c | 870.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed MOUZ | 24c | 838.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.32 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…1eeabacked Vitality | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Vitality | 3c | 832$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Vitality | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…f522backed Vitality | 20c | 777.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Vitality | 80c | 750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Vitality | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 648.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.12 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Vitality | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 78c | 638.21$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…a6c5backed Vitality | 79c | 623.16$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed MOUZ | 20c | 612.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed MOUZ | 21c | 580.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.48 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Vitality | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Vitality | 78c | 573.08$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…0a90backed MOUZ | 63c | 564.31$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed MOUZ | 21c | 544$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ | 20c | 527.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.61 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…d936backed MOUZ | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…1434backed Vitality | 61c | 499.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked MOUZ | 21c | 485$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.15 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Vitality | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Vitality | 65c | 458.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Vitality | 78c | 450$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Vitality | 51c | 450$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed MOUZ | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Vitality | 59c | 427.75$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Vitality | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality | 51c | 394.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Vitality | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.